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]]>“isn’t it a little strange to judge the broad-based impact of eliminating rent control on the market by slicing out the one period in US realty history that virtually everyone agrees was the foundation of a speculative bubble?”
Just a thought.
But yeah sorry if I sounded contentious! Nice talking this stuff through I agree, it definitely made me think about things more.
]]>As for your original point, I agreed with the main thrust, that it’s certainly possible that rising prices in one neighborhood of metro-Boston would lead to lower prices elsewhere. I was only taking issue with the one point, a point that you apparently were not even trying to make. So apparently much of this was for nothing, but I enjoyed thinking through some of the issues a bit. Cheers.
]]>Also the point I was originally trying to make was that this might have been specific to Cambridge. Rich people moving to Cambridge might have eased rent pressure elsewhere in the metro, but to see if that happened the authors would have needed to take a metro-wide perspective.
]]>2. “How could rental deregulation cause that to happen?” I don’t really know. As far as I know, it has long been taken as indisputably true that eliminating rent control will (obviously) increase rents in controlled buildings but also decrease rents for those in uncontrolled buildings and spur enough new construction that overall costs fall, meaning overall benefit. (There should also be quality improvements in the mix because rent controls basically destroy any incentive to basic maintenance let alone improvement.) End assumed result to killing rent control: better quality, lower prices, more housing. But this study seems to question this (unless the place was so dumpy that ALL the improvement went into better quality.)
Here’s a scenario I find quasi-plausible, but I have no idea if it’s the case here: Zoning laws are enacted in a desirable city, restricting construction of new housing supply. Housing prices (both rental and purchase) rise. Renters get angry. Lawmakers enact rent controls on many but not all rental properties. Over the decades, prices diverge substantially. Controlled buildings are cheap enough that reasonably undesirable people can afford them, which limits the value of non-controlled buildings. Rent control is eliminated. Higher prices in the formerly rent controlled buildings for the poor out, making the neighborhood nicer, pushing up prices in never-controlled buildings. All without any improvements other than in the human population. (Eventually, the richer neighbors would demand nicer stuff and start improving, but that would be high prices creating improvements, not improvements creating higher prices.)
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