This is really offensive. You should have included DC and Arlington in that list.
]]>As a city sprawls outwards, the average difficulty of going from one random point to another grows exponentially, while the difficulty of commuting directly to the center increases linearly. (I’m not the best at explaining mathematical concepts, so if someone could formalize this in the comments, it might help others understand.)
I think what you mean to say is that if an urban area spreads like a circle, than the area (= pi * r^2) will be the square of the radius. So, if you’re traveling randomly in that area, your trip will grow with the square of the radius. But if you are going to the center of the area, then your trip will be along the radius.
But these days, there are two sorts of “downtown” jobs. One is the “old” downtown, which is typically comprised of government workers, non-profits, and the like. This downtown is what used to be the main downtown, which the high-value “Midtown” jobs have long-deserted. In fact, it’s curious that you use Lower Manhattan as an example of a place with “lucrative jobs”. They’re lucrative if you count the DMV, the DOT, the MTA, and so forth, Otherwise, the financial firms have largely left; a walk down Wall Street will pass more residential conversions than anything else.
Try this: Go to Google Maps and a do search for “financial” in the Wall St zip code, 10004. Yes, you will see many results. Now zoom out a bit and scroll to Midtown, and you’ll see how tiny the downtown “financial” district is. A strong possibility for this is that the people in finance are pretty likely going to live in Westchester, New Jersey, and Long Island — for which Midtown is much more convenient.
New York is an exception, though. In other cities, these sort of businesses did not leave downtown for midtown; they entirely left the city itself. But they left for the same reasons that created the exodus in Manhattan.
That is: In almost every city, the new downtowns have shifted their locations (generally to the north and the west) and offer jobs that are not intended for people living everywhere. Instead (as in Chicago, Dallas, Atlanta, Detroit, Memphis, etc., etc., etc.) these new downtowns are quite convenient to their workers — who generally live nearby. Yes, the janitors have to sometimes have to travel a bit — but a good deal of the janitors’ neighbors (except for the civil servants) aren’t working in any downtown anyway. The construction workers, home health attendants, supermarket employees, etc. work where people live — so their “downtown commute” is not relevant.
Perhaps the “wedding cake” still exists, but it’s no longer in the geographic center — especially if you examine the density of high-value jobs as opposed to population densities. (And of course, in cities like Detroit and Cleveland, the “business district” is neither the center of population, high-value jobs, low-value-jobs, or even the geographic center.)
]]>(On another note, privatization means two separate things in Europe and most of Asia. In Europe, rail privatization means open access. In Japan, it means going back to the private systems used in pre-Amtrak America – i.e. the tracks are privatized and companies run trains on their own tracks, with through-service to other companies’ tracks baesd on bilateral trackage rights agreements. In Asia ex-Japan, mainline rail is public, but subways can be private or public; if a subway is operated by multiple operators, like in Singapore or Shanghai, transferring from one company to another will be seamless, unlike in Japan.)
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